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Trade War Update — October 14, 2026

Trade war update: China’s September surplus hits $133.53 billion, Beijing opens the Canton Fair and Taiwan is named as an Alaska gas buyer.

ByPeter Peters
Self-drawn map of major sea lanes and trade chokepoints, including Hormuz, Suez, Malacca and the Taiwan Strait
Self-drawn map (Natural Earth, public domain)

Trade War Update

October 14, 2026 · imbalances and dependence

  • $109.6 billionUS goods deficit with China, Jan-Aug 2026 (Census) [33]
  • $34.01 billionChina’s surplus with the US, September 2026 (China customs, as reported) [35]
  • $34.8 billionChina’s surplus with the EU, September 2026 (China customs, as reported) [36]
  • 71%US rare-earth imports from China, share, 2021-24 [38]

Key Takeaways6 things to know

  1. China’s exports rose 36.3% in September and its nine-month surplus reached $938.11 billion, putting a second $1 trillion year within reach, according to customs data relayed by a wire service; see Trade Imbalances.[27]
  2. Premier Li Qiang opened the 140th Canton Fair on October 14 by offering to import more high-value goods and urging other countries to lift restrictions; see Trade Bloc Competition and Business.[28]
  3. The President and the Commerce secretary told an Alaska rally on October 13 that Taiwan will buy 30% of the state’s pipeline gas and invest $4.4 billion, terms Taiwan had not confirmed; see Deals, Treaties and Agreements.[29]
  4. Xi Jinping offered Botswana four principles for mining cooperation, including that Africa’s resources “should not become a tool of geopolitical struggle,” in our translation; see Critical Resources and Supply Chains.[30]
  5. The October 14 Federal Register carried a US injury finding on hydraulic cylinders from five countries and a 13.96% final dumping margin on Japanese hot-rolled steel; see Policy Economics.[31]
  6. Germany is reported to be pressing the EU for quotas on Chinese chemicals and machinery, while Britain’s business secretary said trade-defence decisions rest on “the UK interest”; see Trade Bloc Competition and Business.[32]
Report detailsTrade War Update, Wednesday, October 14, 2026 (Trade Lenses v2) · Data cutoff Oct 14, ~7:50 AM ETDetails
  • Publisher: Peter’s World
  • Edition: Trade War Update, Wednesday, October 14, 2026 (Trade Lenses v2)
  • Coverage window: Oct 13, 2026, ~7:30 AM ET to Oct 14, 2026, ~7:30 AM ET
  • Data cutoff: Oct 14, 2026, ~7:50 AM ET
  • Times: ET unless stated; Beijing is ET+12, Brussels ET+6
  • Style: Rev. 3
  • Sources: White House, Treasury/OFAC, USTR, Commerce/BIS/ITA, ITC, Federal Register, Census, USGS, MOFCOM and European Commission first, then wire and trade press; Chinese official and state-media claims are attributed and tagged reported

Key Numbers

Trade balances and imbalances

China’s goods trade surplus by partner, September 2026 ($ billions, China customs as reported)

China’s goods trade surplus by partner, September 2026 ($ billions, China customs as reported)European Union$34.8 billionUnited States$34.01 billion

Source: [44]

Who depends on whom

ImporterKey inputMain supplierShareSource
United StatesRare-earth compounds and metalsChina71% of imports (2021-24)[42]
United StatesGallium metalCanada28% of imports (2021-24)[43]

Key figures by industry

FigureValueSource
Overall trade balances
US goods deficit with China, Jan-Aug 2026 (Census)$109.6 billion[33]
China’s goods surplus, September 2026 (China customs, as reported)$133.53 billion[34]
China’s surplus with the US, September 2026 (China customs, as reported)$34.01 billion[35]
China’s surplus with the EU, September 2026 (China customs, as reported)$34.8 billion[36]
China’s goods surplus, Jan-Sep 2026 (2025: $1.189 trillion)$938.11 billion[37]
Critical minerals and rare earths
US rare-earth imports from China, share, 2021-2471%[38]
US net import reliance, gallium, 2025100%[39]
Energy and manufacturing
Alaska pipeline gas Taiwan will buy, as stated Oct 13 (unconfirmed)30%[40]
Final dumping margin, Nippon Steel hot-rolled steel, 2023-2413.96%[41]

Trade Imbalances

China’s exports rose 36.3% from a year earlier in September, the fastest pace since February, while imports grew 31.0%, customs data released on October 14 showed.[45] That left a monthly surplus of $133.53 billion, including $34.01 billion with the United States, a 20-month high, and $34.8 billion with the European Union.[46] The nine-month surplus reached $938.11 billion, against a record $1.189 trillion for all of 2025, so China is on course to pass $1 trillion again unless exports slow sharply.[47] Vice customs minister Wang Jun said geopolitical conflicts could affect trade but that the fourth quarter has a foundation for continued growth.[48] Semiconductor exports rose 108.1% in value in January-September, and car exports grew by more than half.[49]

The US numbers point the other way.[50] Census data, dated context, put the US goods deficit with China at $109.6 billion for January-August, against $202.7 billion for all of 2025.[51] China’s customs office and the Census Bureau value and time shipments differently, so the two balances sit side by side here, unreconciled.[52] In China’s own figures the driver is exports outgrowing imports, so each month adds to the cumulative surplus.[53] The September US release, due November 4, is the next test.[54]

Critical Resources and Supply Chains

The window’s main mineral move came in Beijing, where Xi Jinping told Botswana’s President Duma Boko on October 13 that China will steer mining cooperation with Africa toward “industrial value-added” work, in our translation.[55] Xi listed four principles: Africa’s resources belong to Africa; mutual benefit; high-quality development; and a fair, open environment in which those resources “should not become a tool of geopolitical struggle.”[56] He urged Botswana to use China’s zero tariffs for African countries with diplomatic ties, and the leaders witnessed the signing of documents including one on green minerals.[57] The readout gives no tonnages, projects or investment values, so this report does not estimate supply effects.[58]

On the US side, the White House used the President’s October 13 trip to list Alaska’s mineral access projects.[59] Its fact sheet cites the October 2025 approval of the Ambler Road Project, which reaches deposits of copper, cobalt, gallium and germanium, and $150 million in Defense Production Act funding this month for a power line it says will lower energy costs for 75% of Alaskans.[60] Those are access and power steps, and the fact sheet gives no production start date.[61] The contrast is time: Beijing is signing mineral and tariff documents with producers now, while the US projects named in the window are years from output.[62]

Deals, Treaties and Agreements

The largest deal claim came at a Republican rally in Wasilla, Alaska, on the evening of October 13, where the President said Taiwan has agreed to buy 30% of the gas from the state’s pipeline project.[63] Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told the rally that Taiwan has committed $4.4 billion to the pipeline’s development.[64] Taiwan’s economy ministry had no immediate comment, and Premier Cho Jung-tai said only that every government works to keep energy supply stable.[65] The project has buyers for 13 million tonnes a year against capacity of up to 20 million and still needs binding deals to secure financing.[66] The trip’s fact sheet says a $200 billion South Korean energy investment announced in September includes $54 billion for the pipeline.[67] Seoul has said that commitment is not yet final.[68]

In North America, Commerce’s definition of “U.S. content” for metal tariffs on USMCA-qualifying goods took effect on October 14.[69] The trade representative invoked the USMCA labour mechanism on October 13 against Carolina Performance Fabrics, an automotive-textile plant in Guanajuato, and suspended liquidation of entries of its goods, giving Mexico 10 days to agree to a review.[70] A USMCA panel on October 8 affirmed in part and remanded in part Commerce’s countervailing-duty review of Canadian softwood lumber for 2017-2018, a notice published October 14 says.[71] No US or Chinese government document opened confirms the January 10, 2027 truce end date that Secretary Bessent announced on September 23.[72] The export-control suspension behind the truce therefore still ends on November 9, 2026 under its published rule.[73]

Policy Economics

The October 14 Federal Register carried the window’s US trade-remedy actions.[74] The International Trade Commission found a reasonable indication that imports of linear hydraulic cylinders from Canada, China, India, Mexico and South Korea injure US producers, sending the cases to a final phase.[75] Nine US producers filed the petitions on July 29, alleging dumping by all five suppliers and subsidies in China, India and Mexico.[76] The commission also found that ending duty orders on Chinese non-refillable steel cylinders would likely bring back injury.[77] Commerce continued its orders on Chinese boltless steel shelving.[78] In the final review of Japanese hot-rolled steel for October 2023 to September 2024, Commerce set a 13.96% margin for Nippon Steel and 0.00% for Tokyo Steel.[79]

Sanctions moved through publication and enforcement.[80] The Treasury’s sanctions office published its October 8 Iran petroleum-sector designations, an action the Treasury said hit 17 shadow-fleet vessels carrying Iranian oil to South and East Asia.[81] On October 13 it announced an $11.66 million settlement with Bank of America over 475 apparent violations of sanctions on Russia, Belarus, Iran and other targets.[82] FinCEN separately assessed a $1.2 billion penalty, citing late reporting of suspicious transactions that included potential trade-based money laundering tied to the southwest border.[83] The mechanism is cost rather than revenue: remedies and sanctions raise prices and compliance bills for importers and banks without new legislation.[84]

Trade Bloc Competition and Business

Europe’s response to China’s surplus is widening.[85] Germany will press the EU for safeguard quotas on more Chinese goods, including chemicals, mechanical engineering and possibly pharmaceuticals, modelled on the hybrid-car cap, people familiar with the matter said on October 14.[86] Britain is not following, as Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds said in India that the government will not put tariffs on Chinese vehicles because of pressure from Brussels.[87] He said the UK has no major Chinese carmaker and so is no “back door” to the single market, ahead of a UK-EU summit on November 20.[88] The Commission held its third trade dialogue with Türkiye, its fifth-largest trade partner, on October 13, and the meeting featured an announcement on removing the TAREKS import-control barrier.[89]

Beijing answered with a buyers’ fair.[90] Premier Li Qiang opened the 140th Canton Fair in Guangzhou on October 14, saying China will import more quality goods, “especially high value-added products,” and hopes more countries will “lift restrictions,” in our translation.[91] More than 30,000 companies are exhibiting to about 340,000 overseas buyers, the official account said, and WTO Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala sent a video message urging WTO reform.[92] Earlier that day Li urged foreign firms to become investment and supply-chain partners and promised wider market access.[93] The mechanism is market diversion: as quotas spread in Europe, a fair that brings buyers to Chinese suppliers keeps volumes moving elsewhere.[94]

Domestic Affairs

United States

The President’s Alaska trip tied trade to the mid-term campaign, with the Taiwan gas claim made in a speech backing Senator Dan Sullivan and other Republicans.[95] The White House presented tax cuts, energy leasing and mineral access as the trip’s economic record.[96] No new tariff proclamation, export-control rule or USTR tariff action appeared on the White House, USTR, Treasury or Federal Register lists checked on the morning of October 14.[97]

China

Xi’s letter marking the fair’s 70th year called it an effective platform for “high-level opening up,” in our translation.[98] Exports are still carrying growth while domestic demand and investment stay subdued, the wire account of the customs data says.[99]

Assessment

Assessment: the US side of the window ran on enforcement and campaign claims rather than new trade law, since every US item opened was a remedy case, a sanctions step or a rally statement.[100] Assessment: Beijing is presenting record exports as openness, which makes new EU caps harder for it to accept without counter-measures.[101]

Statements by Government Officials on Trade

United States statements come first; statements by other governments are secondary and labeled. Quotes are verbatim and attributed.

United States

  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on October 13: “When a bank of this size fails to meet its anti-money laundering and sanctions obligations, the consequences extend far beyond its own walls.”[102]
  • The White House said on October 13: “President Trump is reversing years of restrictions, unlocking responsible development of Alaska’s oil, gas, and critical minerals.”[103]
  • The trade representative’s office said on October 13 that its labour committee found “sufficient, credible evidence of a denial of rights” at the Guanajuato plant.[104]

Other governments (secondary)

  • Premier Li Qiang said on October 14 that “market connectivity is not a tool for games, but an effective measure to create increments,” in our translation.[105]
  • UK Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds said trade-defence decisions are “based on the UK interest – it’s not based on any other country asking for that.”[106]

What to Watch (Assessment)

  • EU leaders meet on October 15-16 and could endorse the hybrid quota or open the wider quotas Germany is reported to want.[107]
  • Mexico’s 10-day deadline to accept the Carolina Performance Fabrics labour review runs to about October 23.[108]
  • Watch for written Taiwanese confirmation of the gas offtake and investment.[109]
  • Commerce’s preliminary duty rates in the hydraulic-cylinder cases will show how hard the remedy hits Canadian and Mexican suppliers.[110]
  • Watch for a BIS notice moving the Affiliates Rule date from November 9; none appeared on October 14.[111]

Trade War lenses

Analysis

Seven Trade Lenses, each rated for US advantage (1 clear disadvantage, 5 clear advantage) only where the evidence supports it. Trend is against the October 13 Trade War Update, and daily context sits on the War Room dashboard.

Deals & Agreements

The Taiwan gas pledge is a purchase promise made at a campaign rally, not a published contract, so it names a buyer for the Alaska project without settling price or term.[1] The mechanism is offtake financing, since lenders need binding purchase agreements, so US energy sales that would offset part of Taiwan’s surplus depend on pledges becoming contracts.[2] The limit is that Taiwan has not confirmed the terms and Seoul calls its own pipeline commitment unsettled.[3]

Score 3/5Evidence confidence: LowTrend: Stable

Imbalances & Impact

China’s September surplus of $133.53 billion shows export growth outrunning import growth by about five percentage points, by our arithmetic, so the gap widens while both flows rise.[4] For US interests, China’s count of its surplus with the United States hit a 20-month high while the Census deficit fell through August, two datasets this report does not blend.[5] The data do not show whether chip demand or shipments pulled forward before the EU hybrid quota drove the jump.[6]

Score 2/5Evidence confidence: MediumTrend: Worsening

Chokepoints & Dependencies

Beijing’s offer of value-added mining cooperation and zero tariffs to Botswana courts an African producer while US rare-earth imports still come 71% from China.[7] Processing is the choke, because refiners decide who gets metals and magnets, and the Alaska deposits the White House lists still wait on road access.[8] For US interests the gallium gap is total, at 100% net import reliance, and no document in the window gives a substitution date.[9]

Score 2/5Evidence confidence: MediumTrend: Stable

Negotiating Power

Assessed: Beijing’s hand firmed, because a $34.8 billion September surplus with the EU came with public offers to import more, letting it answer quota demands with purchase pledges.[10] Washington’s leverage showed through enforcement, with duty findings, sanctions publications and a USMCA labour case inside the window.[11] For US interests, the January 10, 2027 truce date rests only on Secretary Bessent’s statement, while the published export-control suspension still ends November 9.[12]

Score 3/5Evidence confidence: MediumTrend: Stable

Policy & Economics

US policy moved through the remedy system, where a preliminary injury finding on hydraulic cylinders reaches five suppliers, two of them USMCA partners.[13] Each order prices one product from named suppliers, so the effect builds product by product and orders can run for years, as the shelving continuation shows.[14] For US interests, the 13.96% final margin on Nippon Steel shows remedies hit allies too, though no notice states the trade value covered.[15]

Score 3/5Evidence confidence: HighTrend: Stable

Bloc Competition

Europe is splitting on China, with Germany reported to want quotas beyond hybrids while Britain says it sets its own tariffs, so EU leverage depends on its nearest partner.[16] The EU’s customs union with Türkiye, worth €217.6 billion of two-way trade in 2025, gives Brussels a nearby production base outside the China question.[17] For US interests, a fractured Europe makes a common Western line on overcapacity harder, and the German position is sourced only to people familiar with it.[18]

Score 3/5Evidence confidence: LowTrend: Worsening

Business & Markets

More than 30,000 exhibitors at the Canton Fair give Chinese firms a channel to new buyers as US and EU barriers rise.[19] For US interests, Bank of America’s settlement shows sanctions compliance costs falling on US banks that process cross-border payments, not only on foreign exporters.[20] The counterpoint is that OFAC called the violations non-egregious, so the case signals enforcement intensity rather than a new rule.[21]

Score 3/5Evidence confidence: MediumTrend: Stable

Trade assessment

Who has the leverage
tilting to Beijing, which pairs an export surge with purchase pledges and mineral diplomacy.[22]
Biggest chokepoint
Chinese rare-earth processing, with no published US substitution time.[23]
Likeliest deal
EU leaders endorsing the hybrid quota on October 15-16.[24]
Main risk
wider EU quotas drawing Chinese counter-measures that reach US supply chains through shared suppliers.[25]
US interest
binding the Asian gas pledges and getting the announced January 10 truce date into a published notice before November 9.[26]

Analysis by Peter’s World using the Trade War lenses. Numbered notes link to the footnotes at the end of this report. Scores, where shown, are judgments, not measurements.

Additional sources

Footnotes

  1. [1] Reuters (via Taipei Times), “Trump says Taiwan agrees to buy 30% of gas from Alaska pipeline”, https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2026/10/14/2003865955. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (print edition page 2), time not shown. Primary not opened (cited via this source): the President’s and Secretary Lutnick’s rally remarks in Wasilla, Alaska, Oct 13, 2026; no White House transcript was posted by cutoff. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: rally claims as reported; no contract text or Taiwanese confirmation found.
  2. [2] Reuters (via Taipei Times), “Trump says Taiwan agrees to buy 30% of gas from Alaska pipeline”, https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2026/10/14/2003865955. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (print edition page 2), time not shown. Primary not opened (cited via this source): the President’s and Secretary Lutnick’s rally remarks in Wasilla, Alaska, Oct 13, 2026; no White House transcript was posted by cutoff. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: the account’s statements on financing and on Taiwan’s pledge to raise US purchases.
  3. [3] Reuters (via Taipei Times), “Trump says Taiwan agrees to buy 30% of gas from Alaska pipeline”, https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2026/10/14/2003865955. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (print edition page 2), time not shown. Primary not opened (cited via this source): the President’s and Secretary Lutnick’s rally remarks in Wasilla, Alaska, Oct 13, 2026; no White House transcript was posted by cutoff. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: reported Taiwanese and Korean positions.
  4. [4] Reuters (via CNA), “China’s September exports soar, putting US$1 trillion trade surplus in sight”, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/hinas-september-exports-soar-putting-us1-trillion-trade-surplus-in-sight-6457491. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:47 PM ET (page time Oct 14, 10:47 AM Singapore; updated Oct 14, 2:31 AM ET). Primary not opened (cited via this source): General Administration of Customs of China September data and press briefing (customs website timed out, one attempt). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: customs growth rates as reported; the arithmetic is ours.
  5. [5] U.S. Census Bureau, “Trade in Goods with China (2026, January-August)”, https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html. Published: Oct 6, 2026, with the August release (dated context). Retrieved: 2026-10-12 (cached copy re-read 2026-10-14). Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: Census January-August balance set beside China’s customs figure as reported.
  6. [6] Reuters (via CNA), “China’s September exports soar, putting US$1 trillion trade surplus in sight”, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/hinas-september-exports-soar-putting-us1-trillion-trade-surplus-in-sight-6457491. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:47 PM ET (page time Oct 14, 10:47 AM Singapore; updated Oct 14, 2:31 AM ET). Primary not opened (cited via this source): General Administration of Customs of China September data and press briefing (customs website timed out, one attempt). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: wire account; cause not shown by the data.
  7. [7] U.S. Geological Survey, “Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Rare Earths (net import reliance, compounds and metals, 67% in 2025; import sources 2021-24: China 71%)”, https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-rare-earths.pdf. Published: 2026 edition (dated context). Retrieved: 2026-10-12 (cached copy re-read 2026-10-14). Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: USGS import shares and the Xi-Boko readout covered below.
  8. [8] The White House, “President Trump Visits Alaska: Delivering Results for the Last Frontier”, https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/10/president-trump-visits-alaska-delivering-results-for-the-last-frontier/. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET. US government claims, attributed; figures not checked against agency data. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: White House list of access projects; no production dates given.
  9. [9] U.S. Geological Survey, “Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Gallium (net import reliance 100%; import sources 2021-24: Canada 28%, Japan 22%, China 18%)”, https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-gallium.pdf. Published: 2026 edition (dated context). Retrieved: 2026-10-12 (cached copy re-read 2026-10-14). Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: USGS reliance figure and the absence of production dates.
  10. [10] Reuters (via CNA), “China’s September exports soar, putting US$1 trillion trade surplus in sight”, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/hinas-september-exports-soar-putting-us1-trillion-trade-surplus-in-sight-6457491. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:47 PM ET (page time Oct 14, 10:47 AM Singapore; updated Oct 14, 2:31 AM ET). Primary not opened (cited via this source): General Administration of Customs of China September data and press briefing (customs website timed out, one attempt). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: customs surplus with the EU as reported and Li Qiang’s import pledge covered below.
  11. [11] Federal Register, document search API, documents published October 14, 2026 (126 documents), https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/search?conditions%5Bpublication_date%5D%5Bis%5D=10%2F14%2F2026. Published: Oct 14, 2026 issue (Vol. 91, No. 197). Checked for Bureau of Industry and Security, USTR, Commerce and Treasury trade notices. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: Oct 14 Federal Register trade notices and the USTR labour case.
  12. [12] Bureau of Industry and Security, via the Federal Register, “One-Year Suspension of Expansion of End-User Controls for Affiliates of Certain Listed Entities (FR Doc. 2025-19846)”, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/11/12/2025-19846/one-year-suspension-of-expansion-of-end-user-controls-for-affiliates-of-certain-listed-entities. Published: Nov 12, 2025 (dated context). Retrieved: 2026-10-12 (cached copy re-read 2026-10-14). Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: published rule date set beside the reported Bessent date.
  13. [13] U.S. International Trade Commission, via the Federal Register, “Linear Hydraulic Cylinders From Canada, China, India, Mexico, and South Korea, Determinations (FR Doc. 2026-20988)”, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/14/2026-20988/linear-hydraulic-cylinders-from-canada-china-india-mexico-and-south-korea-determinations. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (determinations filed Oct 9, 2026). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: ITC determination covered below.
  14. [14] International Trade Administration, via the Federal Register, “Boltless Steel Shelving Units Prepackaged for Sale From the People’s Republic of China: Continuation of Antidumping Duty Order and Countervailing Duty Order (FR Doc. 2026-20920)”, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/14/2026-20920/boltless-steel-shelving-units-prepackaged-for-sale-from-the-peoples-republic-of-china-continuation. Published: Oct 14, 2026. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: continuation notice covered below.
  15. [15] International Trade Administration, via the Federal Register, “Certain Hot-Rolled Steel Flat Products From Japan: Final Results of Antidumping Duty Administrative Review; 2023-2024 (FR Doc. 2026-20934)”, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/14/2026-20934/certain-hot-rolled-steel-flat-products-from-japan-final-results-of-antidumping-duty-administrative. Published: Oct 14, 2026. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: final results; trade values not stated.
  16. [16] The Guardian, “UK resists EU pressure to hit China with tariffs”, https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/oct/14/uk-will-not-put-tariffs-on-chinese-vehicles-says-jonathan-reynolds. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: German and UK positions covered below.
  17. [17] European Commission, “Daily News 14 / 10 / 2026 (MEX/26/2159)”, https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/mex_26_2159. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:53 AM ET (11:53 Brussels). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: Commission figure; the production-base reading is ours.
  18. [18] Bloomberg News (via Bloomberg Law), “Germany to Push EU to Impose Caps on More Chinese Imports (2)”, https://news.bloomberglaw.com/international-trade/germany-to-push-eu-to-impose-caps-on-additional-chinese-imports. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:57 AM ET (9:57 AM UTC). Primary not opened (cited via this source): people familiar with the German position; only the opening paragraphs were readable (paywall). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: reported German position.
  19. [19] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “李强出席第140届中国进出口商品交易会开幕式并发表主旨演讲 (Li Qiang attends the opening ceremony of the 140th Canton Fair and delivers a keynote speech)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_ce17581fa6ae44fcb1f21c9c46a8b70b.html. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:50 AM ET (page time 17:50 Beijing). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: Chinese official exhibitor figure; market-diversion reading is ours.
  20. [20] Office of Foreign Assets Control, “Settlement Agreement between the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control and Bank of America, N.A.”, https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20261013_33. Published: Oct 13, 2026, time not shown. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: OFAC settlement covered below.
  21. [21] Office of Foreign Assets Control, “Settlement Agreement between the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control and Bank of America, N.A.”, https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20261013_33. Published: Oct 13, 2026, time not shown. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: OFAC characterisation of the violations.
  22. [22] Reuters (via CNA), “China’s September exports soar, putting US$1 trillion trade surplus in sight”, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/hinas-september-exports-soar-putting-us1-trillion-trade-surplus-in-sight-6457491. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:47 PM ET (page time Oct 14, 10:47 AM Singapore; updated Oct 14, 2:31 AM ET). Primary not opened (cited via this source): General Administration of Customs of China September data and press briefing (customs website timed out, one attempt). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: customs data as reported and the Canton Fair and Botswana readouts.
  23. [23] U.S. Geological Survey, “Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Rare Earths (net import reliance, compounds and metals, 67% in 2025; import sources 2021-24: China 71%)”, https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-rare-earths.pdf. Published: 2026 edition (dated context). Retrieved: 2026-10-12 (cached copy re-read 2026-10-14). Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: USGS import shares.
  24. [24] Peter’s World, “Trade War Update — October 13, 2026”, https://petersworld.org/trade-war-update-oct-13/. Published: Oct 13, 2026, ~7:55 AM ET (previous edition). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: previous edition’s summit timetable.
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Show 85 more sources
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  27. [53] Reuters (via CNA), “China’s September exports soar, putting US$1 trillion trade surplus in sight”, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/hinas-september-exports-soar-putting-us1-trillion-trade-surplus-in-sight-6457491. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:47 PM ET (page time Oct 14, 10:47 AM Singapore; updated Oct 14, 2:31 AM ET). Primary not opened (cited via this source): General Administration of Customs of China September data and press briefing (customs website timed out, one attempt). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: customs growth rates as reported.
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  30. [56] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “习近平同博茨瓦纳总统博科会谈 (Xi Jinping holds talks with Botswana President Boko)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_d43210cbe68c47cea184ede3a9212bd8.html. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:53 AM ET (page time 22:53 Beijing; talks held the afternoon of Oct 13 Beijing time, just before the window; not covered in the previous edition). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  31. [57] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “习近平同博茨瓦纳总统博科会谈 (Xi Jinping holds talks with Botswana President Boko)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_d43210cbe68c47cea184ede3a9212bd8.html. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:53 AM ET (page time 22:53 Beijing; talks held the afternoon of Oct 13 Beijing time, just before the window; not covered in the previous edition). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  32. [58] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “习近平同博茨瓦纳总统博科会谈 (Xi Jinping holds talks with Botswana President Boko)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_d43210cbe68c47cea184ede3a9212bd8.html. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:53 AM ET (page time 22:53 Beijing; talks held the afternoon of Oct 13 Beijing time, just before the window; not covered in the previous edition). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: absence of figures in the readout.
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  34. [60] The White House, “President Trump Visits Alaska: Delivering Results for the Last Frontier”, https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/10/president-trump-visits-alaska-delivering-results-for-the-last-frontier/. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET. US government claims, attributed; figures not checked against agency data. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  35. [61] The White House, “President Trump Visits Alaska: Delivering Results for the Last Frontier”, https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/10/president-trump-visits-alaska-delivering-results-for-the-last-frontier/. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET. US government claims, attributed; figures not checked against agency data. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: absence of production dates in the fact sheet.
  36. [62] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “习近平同博茨瓦纳总统博科会谈 (Xi Jinping holds talks with Botswana President Boko)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_d43210cbe68c47cea184ede3a9212bd8.html. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:53 AM ET (page time 22:53 Beijing; talks held the afternoon of Oct 13 Beijing time, just before the window; not covered in the previous edition). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: Xi-Boko documents and the Alaska fact sheet’s access projects.
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  39. [65] Reuters (via Taipei Times), “Trump says Taiwan agrees to buy 30% of gas from Alaska pipeline”, https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2026/10/14/2003865955. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (print edition page 2), time not shown. Primary not opened (cited via this source): the President’s and Secretary Lutnick’s rally remarks in Wasilla, Alaska, Oct 13, 2026; no White House transcript was posted by cutoff. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  40. [66] Reuters (via Taipei Times), “Trump says Taiwan agrees to buy 30% of gas from Alaska pipeline”, https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2026/10/14/2003865955. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (print edition page 2), time not shown. Primary not opened (cited via this source): the President’s and Secretary Lutnick’s rally remarks in Wasilla, Alaska, Oct 13, 2026; no White House transcript was posted by cutoff. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  41. [67] The White House, “President Trump Visits Alaska: Delivering Results for the Last Frontier”, https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/10/president-trump-visits-alaska-delivering-results-for-the-last-frontier/. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET. US government claims, attributed; figures not checked against agency data. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
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  52. [78] International Trade Administration, via the Federal Register, “Boltless Steel Shelving Units Prepackaged for Sale From the People’s Republic of China: Continuation of Antidumping Duty Order and Countervailing Duty Order (FR Doc. 2026-20920)”, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/14/2026-20920/boltless-steel-shelving-units-prepackaged-for-sale-from-the-peoples-republic-of-china-continuation. Published: Oct 14, 2026. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
  53. [79] International Trade Administration, via the Federal Register, “Certain Hot-Rolled Steel Flat Products From Japan: Final Results of Antidumping Duty Administrative Review; 2023-2024 (FR Doc. 2026-20934)”, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/14/2026-20934/certain-hot-rolled-steel-flat-products-from-japan-final-results-of-antidumping-duty-administrative. Published: Oct 14, 2026. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
  54. [80] Office of Foreign Assets Control, via the Federal Register, “Notice of OFAC Sanctions Action (FR Doc. 2026-20994)”, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/14/2026-20994/notice-of-ofac-sanctions-action. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (action issued Oct 8, 2026). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
  55. [81] U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Operation Economic Outcast Neutralizes Iranian Regime’s Remaining Shadow Fleet Network”, https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0653. Published: Oct 8, 2026 (dated context, before the window). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
  56. [82] Office of Foreign Assets Control, “Settlement Agreement between the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control and Bank of America, N.A.”, https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions/20261013_33. Published: Oct 13, 2026, time not shown. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
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  59. [85] Bloomberg News (via Bloomberg Law), “Germany to Push EU to Impose Caps on More Chinese Imports (2)”, https://news.bloomberglaw.com/international-trade/germany-to-push-eu-to-impose-caps-on-additional-chinese-imports. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:57 AM ET (9:57 AM UTC). Primary not opened (cited via this source): people familiar with the German position; only the opening paragraphs were readable (paywall). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  60. [86] Bloomberg News (via Bloomberg Law), “Germany to Push EU to Impose Caps on More Chinese Imports (2)”, https://news.bloomberglaw.com/international-trade/germany-to-push-eu-to-impose-caps-on-additional-chinese-imports. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:57 AM ET (9:57 AM UTC). Primary not opened (cited via this source): people familiar with the German position; only the opening paragraphs were readable (paywall). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  61. [87] The Guardian, “UK resists EU pressure to hit China with tariffs”, https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/oct/14/uk-will-not-put-tariffs-on-chinese-vehicles-says-jonathan-reynolds. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  62. [88] The Guardian, “UK resists EU pressure to hit China with tariffs”, https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/oct/14/uk-will-not-put-tariffs-on-chinese-vehicles-says-jonathan-reynolds. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  63. [89] European Commission, “Daily News 14 / 10 / 2026 (MEX/26/2159)”, https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/mex_26_2159. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:53 AM ET (11:53 Brussels). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
  64. [90] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “李强出席第140届中国进出口商品交易会开幕式并发表主旨演讲 (Li Qiang attends the opening ceremony of the 140th Canton Fair and delivers a keynote speech)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_ce17581fa6ae44fcb1f21c9c46a8b70b.html. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:50 AM ET (page time 17:50 Beijing). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  65. [91] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “李强出席第140届中国进出口商品交易会开幕式并发表主旨演讲 (Li Qiang attends the opening ceremony of the 140th Canton Fair and delivers a keynote speech)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_ce17581fa6ae44fcb1f21c9c46a8b70b.html. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:50 AM ET (page time 17:50 Beijing). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  66. [92] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “李强出席第140届中国进出口商品交易会开幕式并发表主旨演讲 (Li Qiang attends the opening ceremony of the 140th Canton Fair and delivers a keynote speech)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_ce17581fa6ae44fcb1f21c9c46a8b70b.html. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:50 AM ET (page time 17:50 Beijing). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  67. [93] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “李强出席“广交世界70年”座谈会 (Li Qiang attends the Canton Fair 70th-anniversary symposium)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_b02ad895e27340b4a69b0624b069a997.html. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 3:10 AM ET (page time 15:10 Beijing). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  68. [94] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “李强出席第140届中国进出口商品交易会开幕式并发表主旨演讲 (Li Qiang attends the opening ceremony of the 140th Canton Fair and delivers a keynote speech)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_ce17581fa6ae44fcb1f21c9c46a8b70b.html. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:50 AM ET (page time 17:50 Beijing). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: official attendance figures and the reported EU quota push.
  69. [95] Washington Examiner, “Trump and Lutnick say Taiwan will purchase 30% of natural gas produced by Alaska pipeline project”, https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/white-house/4765105/trump-lutnick-taiwan-30-percent-natural-gas-alaska-pipeline/. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 10:32 PM ET. Primary not opened (cited via this source): rally remarks, Wasilla, Alaska. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  70. [96] The White House, “President Trump Visits Alaska: Delivering Results for the Last Frontier”, https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/10/president-trump-visits-alaska-delivering-results-for-the-last-frontier/. Published: Oct 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET. US government claims, attributed; figures not checked against agency data. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  71. [97] U.S. government release lists checked: White House news, USTR press releases, Treasury press releases and OFAC recent actions, https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases. Published: lists as of Oct 14, 2026, ~7:45 AM ET. Commerce’s news page returned 403 to scripts (one attempt). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
  72. [98] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “习近平向第140届中国进出口商品交易会致贺信 (Xi Jinping sends a congratulatory letter to the 140th Canton Fair)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_0004995983d04f968f68bcac7f223dc3.html. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 3:34 AM ET (page time 15:34 Beijing). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
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  74. [100] Federal Register, document search API, documents published October 14, 2026 (126 documents), https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/search?conditions%5Bpublication_date%5D%5Bis%5D=10%2F14%2F2026. Published: Oct 14, 2026 issue (Vol. 91, No. 197). Checked for Bureau of Industry and Security, USTR, Commerce and Treasury trade notices. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: Oct 14 Federal Register notices and the rally accounts.
  75. [101] Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “李强出席第140届中国进出口商品交易会开幕式并发表主旨演讲 (Li Qiang attends the opening ceremony of the 140th Canton Fair and delivers a keynote speech)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_ce17581fa6ae44fcb1f21c9c46a8b70b.html. Published: Oct 14, 2026, 5:50 AM ET (page time 17:50 Beijing). Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: Li Qiang’s keynote and the reported German push.
  76. [102] (statement) U.S. Department of the Treasury, “U.S. Treasury Announces Record Enforcement Actions Against Bank of America”, https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0657. Statement made Oct 13, 2026, time not shown; published Oct 13, 2026, 4:15 PM ET. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
  77. [103] (statement) The White House, “President Trump Visits Alaska: Delivering Results for the Last Frontier”, https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/10/president-trump-visits-alaska-delivering-results-for-the-last-frontier/. Statement made Oct 13, 2026, time not shown; published Oct 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET. US government claims, attributed; figures not checked against agency data. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  78. [104] (statement) Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), “United States Seeks Mexico’s Review of Alleged Denial of Workers’ Rights at Carolina Performance Fabrics”, https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2026/october/united-states-seeks-mexicos-review-alleged-denial-workers-rights-carolina-performance-fabrics. Statement made Oct 13, 2026, time not shown; published Oct 13, 2026, time not shown. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: confirmed.
  79. [105] (statement) Ministry of Commerce of China (MOFCOM), relaying Xinhua (Chinese-language), “李强出席第140届中国进出口商品交易会开幕式并发表主旨演讲 (Li Qiang attends the opening ceremony of the 140th Canton Fair and delivers a keynote speech)”, https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/xwfb/ldrhd/art/2026/art_ce17581fa6ae44fcb1f21c9c46a8b70b.html. Statement made Oct 14, 2026, afternoon Beijing time (early morning Oct 14 ET; exact time not shown); published Oct 14, 2026, 5:50 AM ET. Translated from Chinese by Peter’s World; Chinese government and state-media account, claims attributed. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  80. [106] (statement) The Guardian, “UK resists EU pressure to hit China with tariffs”, https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/oct/14/uk-will-not-put-tariffs-on-chinese-vehicles-says-jonathan-reynolds. Statement made in India, date and time not shown (interview during a two-day trade visit); published Oct 14, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: reported.
  81. [107] Peter’s World, “Trade War Update — October 13, 2026”, https://petersworld.org/trade-war-update-oct-13/. Published: Oct 13, 2026, ~7:55 AM ET (previous edition). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: summit timetable in the previous edition and the reported German push.
  82. [108] Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), “United States Seeks Mexico’s Review of Alleged Denial of Workers’ Rights at Carolina Performance Fabrics”, https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2026/october/united-states-seeks-mexicos-review-alleged-denial-workers-rights-carolina-performance-fabrics. Published: Oct 13, 2026, time not shown. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: USMCA Annex 31-A deadline; date is our arithmetic.
  83. [109] Reuters (via Taipei Times), “Trump says Taiwan agrees to buy 30% of gas from Alaska pipeline”, https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2026/10/14/2003865955. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (print edition page 2), time not shown. Primary not opened (cited via this source): the President’s and Secretary Lutnick’s rally remarks in Wasilla, Alaska, Oct 13, 2026; no White House transcript was posted by cutoff. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: no confirmation by cutoff.
  84. [110] U.S. International Trade Commission, via the Federal Register, “Linear Hydraulic Cylinders From Canada, China, India, Mexico, and South Korea, Determinations (FR Doc. 2026-20988)”, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/10/14/2026-20988/linear-hydraulic-cylinders-from-canada-china-india-mexico-and-south-korea-determinations. Published: Oct 14, 2026 (determinations filed Oct 9, 2026). Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: ITC notice of final-phase commencement.
  85. [111] Federal Register, document search API, documents published October 14, 2026 (126 documents), https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/search?conditions%5Bpublication_date%5D%5Bis%5D=10%2F14%2F2026. Published: Oct 14, 2026 issue (Vol. 91, No. 197). Checked for Bureau of Industry and Security, USTR, Commerce and Treasury trade notices. Retrieved: 2026-10-14. Tag: assessed. Assessment (this update). Basis: no such notice in the Oct 14 issue.

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