The original seven focus on systems with significant reported expenditures and multi-year rebuild timelines. Added systems emphasize current/maximum annual production rates (“how many made per year”) drawn from DoD budget materials, manufacturer framework agreements (e.g., RTX/Lockheed Martin multi-year deals announced in early 2026), and related analyses. Production capacity is the theoretical/surge or goal rate; actual output depends on funding, supply chains, and prioritization (U.S. vs. allies). Many high-end missiles have long lead times (often 2–4+ years from order to delivery).
Key points on the additions and production rates
- AMRAAM: Strong framework-driven increase (RTX). Useful for air superiority and some ground-based systems; less of a “rebuild timeline” issue in the Iran analyses compared with the seven core systems. jinsa.org
- LRASM: Shares manufacturing with JASSM. Capacity expansions are underway via multi-year contracts; exact split fluctuates. More relevant for anti-ship scenarios than the Iran campaign. af.mil
- GMLRS: Much higher volume production (thousands of rockets/year). Already at high rates with further ramp planned; not constrained the same way as exquisite interceptors/cruise missiles. theworlddata.com
- Javelin: Scaling rapidly for global demand. Lower complexity/cost relative to strategic missiles.
Notes and caveats (consistent with source analyses):
- Original seven data comes primarily from CSIS calculations using FY 2027 budget materials, delivery projections, and reported expenditures. Capacity figures distinguish existing surge capability from multi-year framework goals (often 5–7 year ramps involving new facilities/tooling). defenceopus.com
- “Annual production capacity” is not the same as funded/actual output in a given year. Past low orders kept rates far below theoretical maxima for systems like Tomahawk.
- Allied/partner demand (Patriot, THAAD, Tomahawk, JASSM, AMRAAM, etc.) competes with U.S. replenishment.
- Lead times remain long (often 30–60+ months total for contract + manufacturing + full lot delivery on high-end systems).
- Figures are estimates/rounded and can change with supplemental funding, reprogramming, or new contracts. Exact inventories are classified.
This expands the original list while prioritizing verifiable annual production rates. For the core systems, the rebuild timelines remain multi-year for the most heavily used ones (especially Tomahawk, THAAD, and Patriot). Production is accelerating under framework agreements, but physical capacity and supply chains take time to scale.
